AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2026: DFS and Betting Preview
- FTO
- 2 days ago
- 5 min read
February 11, 2026
As always, last week’s Waste Management provided some great drama down the stretch. Our One-and-Done picks could have performed better (Spieth missed the cut and Cameron Young finished T41), but our other betting and DFS picks performed largely as expected – our “top picks” went three for four making the cut, with Scheffler and Si Woo finishing T3. “Fades” outside the top 15 both finished outside the top 25, and “Dark Horse” picks went two for five with Berger at T16 and Tom Kim T35. Plenty of money was won, but now it’s time to make some more at our first signature event of the season, the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
Pebble Beach: Our First Signature Event
The 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am tees off February 12–15, 2026 as one of the PGA Tour’s most iconic early-season events. As mentioned above, the even has been designated as a Signature Event on the PGA Tour calendar — meaning a strong field, large purse, and significant FedEx Cup points are up for grabs.
This year’s purse is eye-catching — roughly $20 million, with the winner pocketing around $3.6 million alongside 700 FedEx Cup points.
The Courses: Pebble Beach & Spyglass Hill
One of the unique features of this Pro-Am is that it’s played across two legendary courses for the first two rounds before professionals tackle just one over the weekend:
Pebble Beach Golf Links
Location: Pebble Beach, California
Type: Coastal links-style
Signature Holes: The 7th (short but stunning), the 17th (cliffside drama)
Characteristics: Tight fairways, tiny greens, and constant breeze off the Pacific make scoring risky as well as spectacular.
Spyglass Hill Golf Course
Location: Just inland from Pebble Beach
Type: Forested mountain/coastal hybrid
Challenges: Long and demanding, with an unforgiving back nine that can make or break scores.
Professionals will be paired with amateurs for the first two rounds — a hallmark of Pro-Am competition — and then play individual competition in the weekend rounds.
Weather
Weather is usually always a factor at this event with the courses boarding the Pacfic Ocean. WE are expecting 50-60 degrees with some rain and extreme wind gusts.
Looking Back: What History Tells Us
The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am has a rich legacy dating to its early days as the Bing Crosby National Pro-Am in the 1930s. Over generations it has drawn Hollywood stars, business leaders, and golf legends alike, weaving entertainment with elite competition. While formats and sponsors have evolved, its status among golfers and fans endures.
Considering the magnitude of this event and the highly competitve field plenty of big names have won but every now and then you get someone on a hot streak.
2025 - Rory McIlroy
2024- Wyndham Clark
2023- Justin Rose
2022- Tom Hoge
2021- Daniel Berger
In short, course fit matters. Pebble is both a strategic scoring course and one that rewards shot-makers: As such, SG:Approach and short game skill are paramount on tricky coastal greens. The fun doesnt stop there - putting on poa-trivialis/fast greens separates top finishers.
The Purse
Considered a signature event the purse this week is a top tier $20,000,000.
Our Favorite Golfers This Week (DraftKings pricing and odds)
Target mid-tier guys with strong short game strokes gained at coastal courses.
Consider pairing a high-floor superstar (e.g., Scheffler, McIlroy) with a cheaper golfer trending in strokes gained: tee-to-green or around the green.
Keep an eye on weather forecasts — wind can neutralize favorites and boost contrarians.
The field is full of big names and we are going to dive into our favorites, fades, and dark horses for DFS and One and Done pool selections:
Top Picks:
Scottie Scheffler
Until proven otherwise any event he is in is a safe bet for a top 10 finish. His game fits all courses and his history here in 2 events is a T6 and T9 finish.
Russell Henley
Starting to come into his own sitting at #6 on OWGR he is 4 for 6 making the cut at this event. Last year he finished T5 and so far this year he is 2 for 2 cuts made with a T19 and T8. His game fits this course well.
Viktor Hovland
4 starts at this event with 4 cuts made with his highest at T13. He started his first event of the season last week finishing T10 and we are looking for him to take a “major” step forward in his career this year.
Si Woo Kim
The hottest golfer on tour this year without a win. May only be 4 for 8 cuts made at this event but he has never come into it with this hot of a start. He has as good a chance to win as any top name in the field this week.
Fade - Outside of top 15
Rory McIlroy
Feels odd wanting to fade the winner of the event last year on top of the year he had overall, but with the forecast and him not teeing up on the PGA yet this year it seems like a 12-25 finish for Rory here this year. We know he started his season here last year as well and won, but will all he accomplished we don’t think he will be as dialed in as normal.
Ludvig Aberg
Aberg finished 2nd in his first attempt here and W/D last year. His season is off to a bad start not making the cut in either of the events he has played. He hasn’t seemed to have found his groove yet this year and in an event that commands your best given the course and weather we are fading him.
Xander Schauffele
Xander not off to the best start this year and in his only 2 events played at the AT&T he hasn’t finished in the top 50. We were high on him in some earlier events but we expect him to turn it on closer to the Masters. This is a good spot to fade him.
Dark Horse - outright winner to top 15
Shane Lowry
Lowry finished 2nd to his best friend on tour Rory last year. Used to playing in extreme weather conditions he is always a good play when there is rain/wind in the forecast.
Akshay Bhatia
Akshay has been consistently getting better each year on tour. He missed the 1st 2 cuts this year but had a stron T3 finish last week. He has the game and the drive to compete in this event and shot 3 rounds in the high 60’s last year to earn him a T22 finish.
Daniel Berger
The last time Berger played in this event in 2021 he won. He has made all 3 cuts this year with a T6 and a T16. Good news for the PGA is that he looks healthy and ready to compete at a high level this year.
We will discuss more on our strategies as we move forward, including when to consider fading the field or when it’s best to play chalk. If you don’t want to wait, feel free to reach out in the comments or over on X (@FTO_picks). We are always happy to talk golf with you!
Our One-and-Done Picks
Collin – Si Woo Kim
Frank – Justin Rose
*That’s it for this week. Check back next week for our American Express preview and follow us on our new X account (@FTO_picks)!
**This preview does not represent our final betting picks for this event. For our full set of picks, check out our Game Picks section!
***Odds accurate at time of posting.
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