RBC Canadian Open: DFS and Betting Preview

June 10, 2026

JT Poston delivered in yet another exciting Sunday finish to the PGA Tour season.

Tournament Overview

The PGA Tour heads north of the border for the 115th playing of Canada’s national open. After debuting successfully at the renovated TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley North Course in 2025 (where Ryan Fox claimed victory in a playoff), the venue returns as host for 2026 and 2027. A strong international field headlines the week, with top players like Tommy Fleetwood, Matt Fitzpatrick, Collin Morikawa, and Justin Rose leading the charge.

⛳Course Breakdown: TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley – North Course

·       Yardage: 7,389 yards

·       Par: 70

This parkland-style layout features wide corridors that reward thoughtful positioning, but challenging green sites with deep bunkers and strategic demands test precision. The renovation lengthened the course, adjusted par (with some former par-5s now playing as long par-4s), and enhanced its championship pedigree. Expect firm, fast conditions that emphasize approach play and scrambling around elevated, well-guarded greens.

Scorecard Highlights (approximate yardages):

• Front 9: Par 35 (e.g., Hole 1: Par 5, 542y; Hole 2: Par 4, 481y; Hole 4: Par 3, 158y; Hole 7: Par 3, 237y).

• Back 9: Par 35 (e.g., Hole 13: Par 4, 526y; Hole 14: Par 3, 144y; Hole 18: Par 5, 581y).

  
  

  Total: Four par-4s can stretch over 500 yards, with driveable options and risk-reward setups possible.

✅What Type of Golfer Wins Here?

·       Elite iron players and tee-to-green ball-strikers: Deep bunkers and firm greens punish misses; proximity on longer approaches is key.

·       Accurate drivers with distance: Wide corridors allow aggression, but positioning sets up scoring chances.

·       Strong scramblers and around-the-green players: Expect some bogey opportunities; recovery skills matter.

·       Par-5 scorers and versatile performers: The layout mixes length with birdie chances.Bombers and precision players like Fleetwood, Fitzpatrick, and Morikawa fit the profile well. Short-game wizards can thrive if irons are dialed in.

Event History

The RBC Canadian Open dates back to 1904, making it one of the oldest national opens. Recent editions have featured dramatic finishes and strong Canadian representation (e.g., Nick Taylor’s 2023 playoff heroics).

Recent Winners:

• 2025: Ryan Fox (−18, playoff over Sam Burns) – TPC Toronto.

• 2024: Robert MacIntyre (−16) – Hamilton Golf & Country Club.

• 2023: Nick Taylor (−17, playoff over Tommy Fleetwood) – Oakdale.

• 2022: Rory McIlroy (−19) – St. George’s.

Defending champion Ryan Fox returns looking for back-to-back titles. The course rewarded strong weekend scoring in 2025, with low rounds possible.

💰The Purse

$9.8mil purse with the winners share of $1.764mil and 500 FedExCup Points.

☁️Weather Forecast

Expect warm-to-mild conditions with increasing wind influence later in the week:

• Thursday: High ~86°F, low ~66°F, ~40% rain chance, winds 8-14 mph (gusts to 22+).

• Friday: High ~78°F, ~50% rain chance, winds 10-16 mph (gusts to 28).

• Saturday: High ~78°F, dry, winds 12-18 mph.

• Sunday: High ~73°F, ~40% rain chance, winds 10-16 mph.

Breezy conditions, especially on the weekend, will test shot-shaping and course management on the exposed parkland layout. Firming greens should add challenge.

Our Favorite Golfers This Week (DraftKings pricing and odds)

Top Picks T15 or better

Tommy Fleetwood ($10,300 DK; +1125 to win)

Fleetwood is one of the favorites this week (+1200 odds) and has strong ties to the RBC Canadian Open. He finished runner-up in 2023 (losing in a playoff) and T21 in 2024. His ball-striking is elite—he’s among the most accurate drivers on Tour—and he’s shown recent momentum with a T4 at the Memorial alongside strong iron play. On a par-70 track like TPC Toronto (7,389 yards) that emphasizes precision off the tee, approach play from 175+ yards, and scrambling, his game fits perfectly. Expect him to contend or at least post a solid top-15 score.

Sam Burns ($10,100 DK; +1300 to win)

Burns arrives hot after a T4 at the Memorial and has a proven track record here (two top-10s in three prior starts, including runner-up in 2025). He’s a five-time PGA Tour winner with excellent scrambling and GIR rates in recent events. His all-around game, especially approach and short game, should thrive on this renovated parkland layout with water hazards and bentgrass/poa greens. In a field missing some superstars, Burns has the momentum and familiarity for a top-15 finish.

Wyndham Clark ($9,700 DK; +2300 to win)

Clark is in strong form and brings length off the tee, which helps on a course with longer par-4s and strategic risk-reward holes. He’s shown the ability to go on heater runs, and his ball-striking (SG: Approach) aligns well with the demands here. Past visits have shown flashes, and with the field thinned by the upcoming U.S. Open, his upside for a top-15 (or better) is high in this setup.

Fade - Outside of top 15

Matt Fitzpatrick ($10,500 DK; +1175 to win)

Fitzpatrick is a favorite (+1200–1500) and a three-time winner in 2026 with elite SG: Tee-to-Green and Approach numbers. However, his finishes have cooled (T52-T14-T36 lately), and putting woes (losing strokes frequently in recent rounds) have plagued him. This is his first look at the new TPC Toronto setup, and while his precision game should play well, the variance in his short game and recent form make a reliable top-15 less certain—better to fade him at short prices for a big result.

Collin Morikawa ($9,900 DK; +2350 to win)

Morikawa has shown flashes (win at Pebble Beach earlier) but has cooled off and is dealing with potential injury concerns or rust coming off a layoff. This is only his second Canadian Open (T14 in 2019), and adapting to the renovated North Course adds uncertainty. While his iron play is world-class, recent inconsistency and the need to test himself before the U.S. Open make him a fade for a safe top-15 in a bunched field.

Viktor Hovland ($9,200 DK; +3200 to win) 

Hovland is a late addition and coming off back issues that caused him to sit out recently. His 2026 has been up-and-down with only a handful of top-25s. While talented, the timing and physical question marks, plus a debut on this track, suggest volatility. He’s better as a long-shot dart than a reliable top-15 play this week.

Dark Horse - outright winner to top 15

Alex Fitzpatrick ($8,700 DK; +3900 to win)

Alex has been in solid form, teaming with Matt for a strong Zurich showing, and ranks highly in SG: Tee-to-Green in the field. His game translates well to accuracy-focused courses, and as a rising player with DP World Tour success, he offers value as a dark horse for a top-15 at longer odds on a track that rewards ball-striking.

Eric Cole ($8,000 DK; +4500 to win)

Cole excels in SG: Approach (top-ranked in some field projections) and has been a steady performer. His precision irons and scrambling fit TPC Toronto’s demands, with water and strategic bunkering. He’s a proven mid-tier contender who can quietly post a strong week and crack the top 15 as a value dark horse.

Michael Brennan ($8,500 DK; +5000 to win)

Brennan leads or ranks high in SG: Off-the-Tee projections and came off a strong T6 at Colonial. His power and improving approach/putting make him dangerous on a longer par-70 with driveable or reachable opportunities. He’s an emerging name with dark-horse appeal for a top-15 breakout.

Kristoffer Reitan ($8,800 DK; +2500 to win)

Reitan (recent Truist winner vibes in projections) ranks well across driving, approach, and around-the-green. At +2200–2500 odds, his hot streak and versatility suit this Canadian track. He’s a strong dark horse to outperform expectations and land inside the top 15.

DFS using DK Pricing Picks by Tier

Again, we are embracing reasonable risk this weekend, you should too.

$10k+

Tommy Fleetwood $10,300 and Sam Burns $10,100

We love these guys this week and the write ups are above

$9k+  

Wyndham Clark $9,700

Shane Lowry $9,000

Excellent price for a proven performer. He's a strong ball-striker (top-50 SG: Approach recently), elite scrambler/putter in spots, and has course familiarity (T13 here last year). In a weaker field, his consistency and short-game edge make him a safe high-floor play with win potential at +2900–4000 odds.

$8k+

Kristoffer Reitan $8,800, Alex Fitzpatrick $8,700, Michael Brennan $8,500, Eric Cole $8,000

We love these guys this week and the write ups are above

$7k+ 

Sahith Theegala $7,900

Strong value in the upper-mid range. Theegala has shown rebound signs with solid recent form (top-20s and ball-striking gains), good approach play, and creativity around greens. TPC setups often suit his game; he's a reliable scorer in birdie-fests and brings upside without premium pricing.

Ryan Fox $7,800

Defending champion at a fair price. Fox won here last year (-18), showing he fits the birdie-heavy, par-4 scoring demands. He's a powerful hitter with recent momentum; repeating or contending again is realistic in this field, giving massive ceiling for the salary.

Corey Conners $7,800

Classic ball-striking specialist at good value. Conners is elite with irons (consistent top-tier SG: Approach) and a Canadian who should thrive on a course rewarding precision. His putting/scrambling can be streaky, but in a scoring setup, his T2G game projects well for top-20/30 upside or better.

Max Greyserman $7,500

One of the better mid-tier pivots. Greyserman offers high-upside ball-striking and distance; he's been a popular GPP target for his ceiling in weaker fields. At this price, he's a leverage play against more chalky names like Cole/Putnam.

Tony Finau $7,400

Discounted power player. Finau has shown solid recent form (top-20s) and brings length + consistency off the tee. He can feast on reachable par 5s and birdie opportunities; the price leaves room for strong builds.

Max Homa $7,300

Strong value for a former winner with course pedigree (e.g., West Coast success). Homa has flashes of elite play and short-game touch; in a birdie-friendly event with lower expectations, he can outperform this tier with a hot week.

$6k+ 

AJ Ewart $6,900

Strong recent Canadian form/top-20s; home advantage.

Billy Horschel $6,900

Veteran with multiple wins who offers a balanced floor/ceiling in this birdie-friendly setup. Horschel brings experience, short-game savvy, and occasional scoring pop that fits TPC Toronto’s par-4 emphasis. At this price, he’s a solid punt for salary relief or GPP leverage, especially if his irons heat up. Form has been spotty, so treat as a high-risk, high-reward dart.

Neal Shipley $6,800

Elite power play and one of the best low-priced bombers on the slate. Shipley leads in SG: Off-the-Tee and drives it over 305 yards, perfect for the wide fairways and reachable par 5s here. Fresh off a strong U.S. Open qualifier performance, he’s a high-upside GPP differentiator. Approach and putting remain inconsistent, making him a classic boom-or-bust punt with massive ceiling when it clicks.

Our One-and-Done Picks

Collin – Tommy Fleetwood

Frank – Wyndham Clark

That’s it for this week. Check back next Wednesday for our US Open preview and follow us on our new X account @FTO_picks and @FTO_Fun

*This preview does not represent our final betting picks for this event. For our full set of picks, check our our Game Picks section!

**Odds accurate at time of posting.