Super Bowl LX: DFS and Betting Preview

January 4, 2026

The NFL season culminates Sunday, February 8, 2026, when the Seattle Seahawks face the New England Patriots at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Whether you’re crafting DraftKings/FanDuel DFS showdown lineups or building a betting card, we’ve broken down the must-know strategy, projections, and topline odds.

🧠 Super Bowl Betting Odds (via DraftKings)

DraftKings (DK) currently has the Seahawks as favorites:

• Spread: SEA −4.5

• Moneyline: SEA −230 | NE +190

• Total (O/U): 45.5 points

🧩 Trend Tip: Underdogs have covered the spread in 17 of the last 25 Super Bowls, and public money can inflate spread lines late in the week.

📊 Top Prop Markets to Target

Here are some of the most-bet player props gaining traction across books:

Prop	Current Line	Notes
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime TD	−110	High target share + red zone appeal
Kenneth Walker III Over 20.5 Rec Yds	−175	Workhorse RB angle
Drake Maye Rush Yds Over ~36.5	−115	Rushing QB upside
SEA D/ST Anytime TD	+390	Big swing longshot with return upside

Betting Insight: Look at value in unders/overs and specialty props (first TD scorer, longest reception), as they often yield higher payout multiples.  The complete list of our favorite Super Bowl bets are now included in our Daily Picks post from now through Super Bowl Sunday.

🆚 DraftKings vs FanDuel — DFS Showdown Strategy

Super Bowl DFS is unique because it’s one game. That means stacking, ownership angles, and game script predictions matter more than a regular slate.

📊 Ownership & Projection Breakdown

For both DK and FD, envision these ownership tiers — particularly useful in GPP tournaments.

High-Owned (30%+ Expected Ownership)

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) — Top target; touchdown upside should lift ownership.

• Sam Darnold (SEA) — Correlated with JSN; heavy usage in pass script.

• Drake Maye (NE) — Dual-threat with late value if comeback script occurs.

Moderate Ownership (15–30%)

• Kenneth Walker III (SEA) — Cross-platform value; especially if Seattle leads.

• Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) — Game-tempo anchor; consistent touches.

• Stefon Diggs (NE) — Ideally second option behind Stevenson in scoring.

Low Ownership (5–15%)

• Special plays: TEs, defensive scoring plays, and kicker/storyline plays

• DK/FD Differences: FanDuel sometimes prices mid-tier PPR guys higher, so adjust ownership projections accordingly — cheap DK salaries may have higher leverage plays on FanDuel.

  
  

💡 DraftKings Tips

• Captain Strategy: For GPP builds, consider a pass-catcher (like JSN) as Captain to maximize correlated ceiling.

• Cheaper RB/TE Leverages: Use at least one value play in a flex spot to free cap space for dual superstars.

💡 FanDuel Tips

·        FD Ownership Insight: Expect more balanced ownership percentages due to FD’s scoring structure favoring receptions.

🏈Our Favorite DFS Picks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($11,600 DK; $13,000 FD)   

JSN is going to a popular play this weekend at both flex and captain and there’s a chance that the Pats choose to shadow him with Christan Gonzalez. Still, JSN’s high floor is undeniable and we expect another strong performance to cap off his breakout campaign.

Drake Maye ($11,000 DK; $12,600 FD)  

It seems strange to say, but we actually love this matchup for Maye. Seattle’s zone-based defense (77 percent of snaps) worries us a lot more on the ground than it does through the air. This season, Maye leads the league in passing completion percentage (74.3%) against zone coverage and also leads the league in scramble percentage vs zone. Drake “Drake Maye” Maye should have a safe floor in this game and should be considered in the captain slot for both cash and GPP formats.

Sam Darnold ($10,800 DK; $11,800 FD)  

We just talked about Drake Maye’s high floor, but Sam Darnold may present a higher floor. The Seahawks QB lead the NFL in dropback efficiency this season. From a game-stack perspective, Darnold pairs perfectly with JSN and is likely to be lower-owned in the captain slot.

Hunter Henry ($7,000 DK; $7,600 FD)  

Seattle’s defense struggled all season against opposing tight ends. Henry, who is second on the Patriots in target share percentage, should have plenty of opportunities this Sunday. For GPP’s, we plan to have some exposure to the big man in the captain slot.

Rashid Shaheed ($4,200 DK; $5,800 FD)  

Shaheed’s 27 routes in the NFC Conference Championship were his third most since being traded to Seattle mid-season. We expect him to top that number this weekend and also adds to his ceiling by being one of the best kick/punt returners in the league. Remember, he returned the opening kickoff for a touchdown in that game.

[Check out all of our betting picks for the Super Bowl in our Game Picks section, but Shaheed’s anytime TD prop (+360) could be worth a fun sprinkle.] 

Mack Hollins ($3,600 DK; $6,400 FD)  

Nothing wrong with playing Diggs (19.1% target share), especially if you enter multiple lineups, but we plan to bypass him in most builds because his low floor does not justify his high price. Instead, give us Henry (15.7%) and Hollins (14.5%), who are both not so far behind in terms of target share percentage. Of note, in his return from injury last week, Hollins lead the Patriots in receiving yards.

George Holani ($2,400 DK; $4,400 FD)  

There’s been a considerable amount of sharp talk on Holani this week and we expect this to boost his ownership percentage. Still, Holani saw 7 opportunities in Seattle’s first game without Zach Charbonnett and ran the same number of routes (17) as fellow RB Kenneth Walker in that game. We are not expecting the world of Holani this Sunday, but he should be able to pay off this price, especially on DK.  

Jake Bobo ($1,600 DK; $3,400 FD)  

We are not excited about playing anyone priced below Holani, but if you’re desperate, Bobo is the only name that really jumps out after his touchdown in the NFC Conference Championship.

Strategy tip: While it’s likely at least one of Stevenson, Henderson, or Walker will be in the winning lineup, it’s going to be hard to choose which one. For those building multiple lineups, we recommend limited exposure to each.

📈 Final Betting & DFS Strategy

🧠 Betting Edge

• Use line shopping across books — spreads and totals can differ slightly.

• Consider props early, as public movement often sharpens lines late.

🧠 DFS Edge

• Target correlated stacks (QB + WR) first.

• Underweight high-owned chalk if you’re in large GPPs — differentiate through value targets and low-owned scoring plays.

🔥 Super Bowl LX is more than a game — it’s a data battle. 

Between ownership leaks, stack decisions, and prop edges, today’s DFS research and betting insights could make the difference in your cash and tourney results.

*That a wrap on this season. If you bet or play fantasy baseball and/or golf during the off-season, be sure to follow us on our new X account @FTO_picks!

**This preview does not represent our final betting picks for this event. For our full set of picks, check out our Game Picks section.

***Odds accurate at time of posting.