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PGA Championship 2026: DFS and Betting Preview

  • Writer: FTO
    FTO
  • 2 days ago
  • 9 min read

May 13, 2026


Another nail bitter and great Sunday at the Truist Championship. Great win for Kristoffer Reitan notching his first PGA win!

Tournament Overview

The 108th PGA Championship (May 14–17) marks a special homecoming for the PGA of America. It’s the second major of 2026, carrying massive prestige, world-ranking points, and a purse expected to push $19–20 million (winner’s share north of $3.4 million based on recent trends). No cut after 36 holes? No—this is a full-field major with the traditional top-70-and-ties cut, meaning every round matters. Top players have no excuses; this is where legacies are built.

Course Breakdown: Aronimink Golf Club

·       Aronimink Golf Club (Newtown Square, PA) is a Donald Ross masterpiece from 1928

·       Yardage: 7,394

·       Par: 70

·       This is classic Ross: strategic bunkering (176 bunkers after recent restoration), bold elevation changes, turtleback greens that repel imprecise approaches, and a premium on long-iron play and course management

·       The front nine features a series of demanding par-4s with uphill approaches and well-placed hazards

·       The back nine ramps up the drama with longer par-4s (including a beefed-up 15th at 546 yards) and reachable-yet-tricky par-5s

·       Greens are firm and fast, rewarding precision over power

 

What Type of Golfer Wins Here?

  • Elite ball-strikers who dominate Strokes Gained: Approach and iron play

  • Accurate drivers who avoid the heavy rough and bunkers

  • Strong scramblers and putters who can save par when approaches miss

  • Players comfortable with Ross-style strategic golf and elevation changes

  • Bonus: Comfort in firm, fast conditions and cooler Northeast weather

Think Collin Morikawa, Matt Fitzpatrick, or Scottie Scheffler types—precision and control trump pure distance. Bombers who spray it off the tee will get punished quickly.

Event History

  • Elite ball-strikers who dominate Strokes Gained: Approach and iron play

  • Accurate drivers who avoid the heavy rough and bunkers

  • Strong scramblers and putters who can save par when approaches miss

  • Players comfortable with Ross-style strategic golf and elevation changes

  • Bonus: Comfort in firm, fast conditions and cooler Northeast weather

Think Collin Morikawa, Matt Fitzpatrick, or Scottie Scheffler types—precision and control trump pure distance. Bombers who spray it off the tee will get punished quickly.

💰The Purse

The PGA Championship offers one of golf’s biggest paydays and the ultimate hardware. With no cut for the top 70-and-ties after Friday, DFS aggression pays off—stack the best course-fit players and chase upside in a major where one hot weekend can change everything.

 

☁️Weather Forecast

·        Cooler Northeast conditions early in the week give way to a beautiful weekend:

·        Thursday (Round 1): High ~62°F, 55% chance of showers, winds 10 mph E

·        Friday (Round 2): High ~66°F, 56% chance of showers, winds 13 mph NE

·        Saturday (Round 3): High ~71°F, mostly sunny, winds 8 mph NNW

·        Sunday (Final Round): High ~74°F, sunny, light winds

·        Early rain could soften the course slightly, but expect firm, fast conditions by the weekend—perfect for Ross’s strategic test.

Our Favorite Golfers This Week (DraftKings pricing and odds)

Top Picks T15 or better

Scottie Scheffler ($13,900 DK; +385 to win)

Scottie Scheffler is the clear top-15 lock at Aronimink. As the defending PGA champion and World No. 1, he has posted top-7 finishes in each of his last six major starts and owns six top-10s in just nine starts this season despite no wins yet. His elite tee-to-green game (consistently top-3 in Total SG) and unmatched scrambling around Donald Ross bunkers give him the highest floor in the field. Three straight runner-up finishes show he’s knocking on the door — expect another contention week and a safe top-15 on a course that rewards precision over pure power.

 

Cam Young ($10,200 DK; +1650 to win)

Cam Young is built for Aronimink’s strategic, bunker-laden layout. Fresh off his 2026 Players Championship victory and a scorching stretch that includes multiple top-10s and two wins this season, he ranks near the top of the Tour in Total Driving and approach play. His length off the tee combined with Bermuda-style short-game touch (proven at Sawgrass) translates perfectly to Ross greens and the penal bunkering. Momentum + elite ball-striking = a high-upside profile that should deliver another top-15 in this major.

 

Collin Morikawa ($9,900 DK; +3900 to win)

Morikawa’s precision iron game is tailor-made for Aronimink’s demanding approaches and small targets. The 2020 PGA champion leads (or has recently led) the Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach and boasts five straight top-10s earlier this season plus a Pebble Beach win. His laser-like accuracy off the tee and ability to control distance on long irons play perfectly into a classic Ross setup that punishes loose shots. Consistent major pedigree plus red-hot ball-striking make him a virtual lock for top-15 contention.

 

Ludvig Aberg ($9,800 DK; +2000 to win)

Ludvig Åberg brings major-ready upside to Aronimink despite past missed cuts at the PGA. The young Swede’s powerful, all-around ball-striking has him contending at the highest level (T21 Masters 2026, strong Players showing), and his length-plus-accuracy combo fits the wide-open yet strategically bunkered Ross design. At just 26 he’s already shown he can go low on tough tracks; with the rough expected to play manageable and his recent form trending up, Åberg has the skill set to post his first PGA weekend and cruise inside the top 15.

 

Fade - Outside of top 15

Rory McIlroy ($12,400 DK; +910 to win)

Rory McIlroy enters as one of the betting favorites after winning the Masters, but several red flags make him a strong fade for a safe top-15 at Aronimink. His putting has been shaky all season (outside the top 100 in SG: Putting), and Donald Ross’s severely contoured greens reward precision on the flatstick — an area where Rory has three-putted from short range in recent big events. While his tee-to-green game remains elite, inconsistent scoring rounds (including a shaky Truist showing) and the high-variance nature of major pressure suggest he could post a couple of over-par rounds and slip outside the top 15.

 

Bryson DeChambeau ($10,900 DK; +1850 to win)

Bryson DeChambeau’s power game shines on bombers’ tracks, but Aronimink’s strategic Donald Ross layout with heavy bunkering and emphasis on accuracy and short-game creativity is a poor fit for his all-or-nothing style. His 2026 LIV results look solid on paper, yet major appearances (including a rough Masters start) show vulnerability when precision matters most. The penal bunkers and smaller targets will punish his occasional wild misses, making a steady top-15 grind unlikely despite the length advantage.

 

Viktor Hovland ($9,600 DK; +5900 to win)

Viktor Hovland remains in a transitional phase in 2026 with streaky form and no true breakout yet this season. His best finishes are scattered (T10 Phoenix, T13 Arnold Palmer), but he’s shown repeated missed cuts and mid-pack results in tougher events. Approach play and short game have been average at best, which won’t cut it on Aronimink’s demanding Ross greens and bunkering. Without consistent ball-striking or putting sparks, expect another major where Hovland hovers around the cut line rather than climbing into the top 15.

 

Dark Horse - outright winner to top 15

Rickie Fowler ($7,400 DK; +6700 to win)

Rickie Fowler is the ultimate major grinder who always seems to pop at classic tracks like Aronimink. With three top-15 finishes already this season and a career full of Sunday contention in the big ones, his world-class short game and scrambling around Donald Ross bunkers give him an edge most power players lack. On a course that rewards creativity over raw distance, expect Fowler’s touch and experience to deliver another sneaky top-15.

 

Keegan Bradley ($7,400 DK; +13000 to win)

Keegan Bradley is a former PGA champion who knows exactly how to win on this type of layout. Fresh off a 2026 win and multiple top-25s while ranking top-10 in Strokes Gained: Putting, his veteran savvy around Ross greens and ability to plot his way through penal bunkers make him a perfect fit. Bradley’s major pedigree plus red-hot flatstick add up to a high-floor profile that should cruise inside the top 15.

 

Min Woo Lee ($7,500 DK; +6200 to win)

Min Woo Lee is the explosive young talent built for Aronimink’s wide-but-tricky fairways. The Australian has piled up multiple top-10s this season and leads the Tour in several driving and approach categories, blending length with improving short-game touch. His aggressive style and ability to go low around Ross bunkers give him massive upside — don’t be shocked when Lee posts his first major top-15.

 

JJ Spaun ($7,700 DK; +7800 to win)

JJ Spaun has been one of the steadiest ball-strikers on Tour in 2026, posting multiple top-20s while ranking elite in Strokes Gained: Approach. His laser-like iron play and clutch putting translate perfectly to Aronimink’s small targets and demanding Ross greens. While he flies under the radar in majors, Spaun’s consistency and course-fit make him a classic dark-horse top-15 lock.

 

Gary Woodland ($7,300 DK; +11000 to win)

Gary Woodland’s power and proven major pedigree (2019 U.S. Open winner) make him dangerous on any tough setup. Showing signs of his old form with a pair of early-season top-15s, his elite distance combined with solid scrambling around deep bunkers fits Aronimink’s strategic demands. On a Donald Ross track that rewards both length and creativity, Woodland has the tools for a surprise top-15 charge.

 

Dustin Johnson ($7,000 DK; +23000 to win)

Dustin Johnson is still one of the most gifted players in golf and remains a major threat whenever he shows up. With a 2020 PGA title on his résumé and a recent top-10 in a signature event this season, his unmatched length and improving short game around Ross bunkers are tailor-made for Aronimink. DJ’s experience and ability to separate from the field with the driver set up a strong case for another top-15 finish.

 

Alex Fitzpatrick ($5,900 DK; +15500 to win)

Alex Fitzpatrick is the rising star with major-ready game who could break out at Aronimink. The young Englishman already has two top-10s this season and flashed serious ball-striking in his early major appearances. His pinpoint accuracy off the tee and strong approach play match perfectly with Donald Ross precision requirements, giving him the skill set to quietly climb into the top 15 in his breakout PGA showing.

 

 

DFS using DK Pricing Picks by Tier

Again, we are embracing reasonable risk this weekend, you should too.

$10k+

Scottie Scheffler $13,900

Like previous posts with overlapping tier and DFS picks we won’t be redundant. We like him this week and the reasons are above.

John Rahm $10,400

Rahm’s powerful, accurate game fits Aronimink’s strategic bunkering and long-iron demands. Major pedigree and proven ability to grind on firm, contoured Ross greens make him a high-floor play with win upside in this stacked field.

 

Cam Young $10,200

Like previous posts with overlapping tier and DFS picks we won’t be redundant. We like him this week and the reasons are above.

 

$9k+

Collin Morikawa $9,900

Like previous posts with overlapping tier and DFS picks we won’t be redundant. We like him this week and the reasons are above.

 

Ludvig Aberg $9,800

Like previous posts with overlapping tier and DFS picks we won’t be redundant. We like him this week and the reasons are above.

 

Justin Thomas $9,400

JT’s two PGA wins highlight his major pedigree. While form has been streaky, his creativity around greens and history of peaking at big events make him dangerous on Aronimink’s strategic, elevation-change layout.

 

Brooks Koepka $9,300

Koepka lives for majors. His power, clutch par-4 scoring, and proven ability to post low rounds on tough tracks position him for another strong showing at Aronimink.

 

Tyrell Hatton $9,100

Hatton’s gritty ball-striking and short-game touch excel on firm, tricky Ross greens with heavy bunkering. Expect him to navigate the precision demands effectively.

 

$8k+

Chirs Gotterup $8,800

Gotterup’s bomber profile and recent upside tee-to-green make him a high-ceiling play. Aronimink’s length and par-4 emphasis reward his driving distance when paired with solid iron play.

 

Joaquin Niemann $8,200

Niemann’s consistent ball-striking and ability to go low suit this major setup. He brings strong form and major upside at a value price.

 

$7k+

Corey Conners $7,900

Conners ranks among the tour’s best in SG: Approach and GIR. Aronimink’s long-iron demands and contoured greens play directly to his strengths for steady scoring.

 

JJ Spaun $7,700

Like previous posts with overlapping tier and DFS picks we won’t be redundant. We like him this week and the reasons are above.

 

Rickie Fowler $7,400

Like previous posts with overlapping tier and DFS picks we won’t be redundant. We like him this week and the reasons are above.

 

Keegan Bradley $7,400

Like previous posts with overlapping tier and DFS picks we won’t be redundant. We like him this week and the reasons are above.

 

Dustin Johnson $7,000

Like previous posts with overlapping tier and DFS picks we won’t be redundant. We like him this week and the reasons are above.

 

$5k+

Alex Noren $6,900

Noren’s precision and scrambling ability shine on bunker-heavy, strategic courses like Aronimink. Solid recent play makes him a reliable low-owned option.

 

Nicolai Hojgaard $6,500

Hojgaard’s ball-striking and European flair for tough setups give him boom potential. Watch for strong iron play into firm greens.

 

Pierceson Coody $6,300

Coody’s length off the tee and improving approach game provide DFS leverage. Aronimink’s bomber-friendly elements (when paired with iron accuracy) give him upside as a value play in large-field contests.

 

Kristoffer Retian $6,200

Retian offers solid all-around play with recent consistency. His ability to avoid big mistakes and perform on precision tracks positions him for sneaky scoring on a Donald Ross classic.

 

Alex Smalley $6,100

Smalley’s ball-striking gains and mid-round momentum make him an intriguing low-priced option. He can capitalize on Aronimink’s emphasis on approach play into firm, sloped greens.

 

Alex Fitzpatrick $5,900

Like previous posts with overlapping tier and DFS picks we won’t be redundant. We like him this week and the reasons are above.

 

Harry Hall $5,800

Hall’s consistency and tee-to-green profile suit Aronimink’s demands. He provides low-ownership leverage with the potential to string together four competitive rounds.

 

Our One-and-Done Picks

Collin – Rickie Fowler

Frank – Ludvig Aberg


That’s it for this week. Check back next Wednesday for our CJ Cup Byron Nelson preview and follow us on our new X account @FTO_picks and @FTO_Fun


*This preview does not represent our final betting picks for this event. For our full set of picks, check our our Game Picks section!


**Odds accurate at time of posting.

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